Příspěvek k hodnocení vývoje spotřebních norem energií

A Contribution to Evaluation a Development of Consumption Standards of Energy This problem was discussed on example of data from balances of fuel-energy economy in Germany in the area before it unites with East Germany, and that for period 1970 - 1993, with using of data published in [8]. A development of joule input to 1 joule output was characterized by long-term average and adequate mean square error, regressive curves and regression with a help of method so called Neural Networks. Up to now development so far does not confirms a realization of advisable trend of the consumption decline, which has own limit, comes from the II. Thermodynamic law. But the system can be mark as stochastic stabile: the coming norms fluctuate among an average in the interval +/- 2 * root mean square error. Authors call attention to a possible influence of fluctuations of climate (atmosphere temperature), to movement of written norms.